Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 3.595798 3.819240 4.058956 4.336987 4.652835 5.003272 5.425487
2025-06-08 3.242479 3.539029 3.874553 4.288003 4.792254 5.399405 6.206258
2025-06-15 3.012111 3.359111 3.768979 4.300742 4.992146 5.893047 7.220538
2025-06-22 2.774692 3.141683 3.588781 4.191622 5.015799 6.162797 8.018850
2025-06-29 2.560435 2.930881 3.392467 4.033078 4.943781 6.281331 8.631788
2025-07-06 2.409423 2.785581 3.264118 3.946616 4.954535 6.518440 9.526469
2025-07-13 2.361419 2.766337 3.296035 4.080502 5.304094 7.367734 11.985839
2025-07-20 2.294196 2.715482 3.278923 4.139422 5.545507 8.103383 14.792940
2025-07-27 2.272255 2.722271 3.340158 4.319960 6.018884 9.447591 20.989308
2025-08-03 2.230097 2.697433 3.352732 4.424521 6.380368 10.729240 30.392145
2025-08-10 2.149897 2.614119 3.272675 4.368808 6.429688 11.297013 38.957266
2025-08-17 2.049468 2.497147 3.135159 4.204524 6.239541 11.168912 42.461633
2025-08-24 1.969578 2.412060 3.049889 4.137791 6.272931 11.802886 61.919548
2025-08-31 1.901958 2.341746 2.983376 4.098483 6.362672 12.703863 120.610686
2025-09-07 1.851983 2.294568 2.949531 4.113754 6.579317 14.243399 9597.439636
2025-09-14 1.781299 2.213612 2.857764 4.015401 6.519115 14.746609 NaN
2025-09-21 1.705918 2.122681 2.745501 3.870169 6.325248 14.599981 NaN
2025-09-28 1.649596 2.057906 2.671718 3.790841 6.280394 15.130427 NaN
2025-10-05 1.638352 2.059726 2.704569 3.915419 6.774549 19.007548 NaN
2025-10-12 1.614112 2.040542 2.701609 3.970282 7.107155 22.942523 NaN
2025-10-19 1.610848 2.053007 2.751648 4.137281 7.822485 33.438435 NaN
2025-10-26 1.595141 2.045233 2.766609 4.233811 8.372434 48.834691 NaN
2025-11-02 1.557042 2.000696 2.715422 4.182573 8.414298 56.989064 NaN